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TheDairySite Newsletter - 01 February 2013

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Friday 1st February 2013.
Michael Priestley - Editor

Michael Priestley

Growing Demand Should Mean Bright Future

European dairy farmers face a positive medium term outlook with average yield increases per cow benefitting from global markets fuelling exports, a European Commission report has predicted.

World demand is expected to be driven by China, Russia and Middle Eastern markets. Higher end value-added products are emphasised as strategic products for the future in the report, ‘Prospects for Agricultural Markets and Income in the EU 2012-2020’.

Figures are based on an increase of official 2011 figures and are an approximation of how the global dairy market is currently set to pan out.

Experts project that the global dairy market will expand to the extent that, despite EU dairy exports all increasing, the total EU share of the global market will have decreased to 32 per cent of world exports.

At the industry centre is the EU dairy herd which is expected to shrink by three per cent to 22.2 million whilst productivity per cow rises.

Overall milk production will rise slowly, remaining below growth rate potential due to the piecemeal quota phase out. Forecast to rise by five per cent, milk production will reach 159.3 million tonnes by 2020.

Raw milk deliveries, thought to rise to 147 million tonnes, will be helped by on farm consumption decreasing by an expected 12 per cent. This is attributed to a contraction of subsistence production.

The disparity between the member states is shown by average milk production forecasts per cow. The Commission predicted figures of 7,200 kg per cow for the EU 15 and 6,000 kg per cow for the EU 12.

Some member states have achieved half of their annual quota. Romania (-43 per cent) and Bulgaria (-53 per cent) are countered by overshoots in Austria, Ireland, Germany and Cyprus.

Quota underutilisation is not offset however. The report confirms quota underutilisation at 2.2 million tonnes.

Cheese and Skimmed Milk Powder exports are forecast to double and treble respectively.

Exports of cheese +7 per cent to 9.6 million tonnes and SMP + 23 per cent at 1.3 million tonnes have been pinpointed as the main product for future expanse.

Within Europe, cheese demand is expected to grow by four per cent per capita, with average consumption rising to 17 kg.

All commodity prices will be sustained although the butter outlook is more modest, anticipated to increase by eight per cent to 2.4 million tonnes.

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This Weeks Articles and Analysis

Whole Genome Sequencing Reveals Local Transmission Patterns of Mycobacterium bovis in Sympatric Cattle and Badger Populations
UK - A new study has found evidence of Badger populations transmitting bovine tuberculosis to cattle following advanced genetic sequencing technology, pioneered by the Agri-Food and Biosciences Institute and Glasgow University.

Bovine Viral Diarrhoea: Causes, Effects and Control
Professor Joe Brownlie, of the Royal Veterinary College, outlines the issue of Bovine Viral Diarrhoea.

Identifying Investment Opportunities for Ruminant Livestock Feeding in Developing Countries
Investment in the development of feed markets in Africa and South Asia could enable very large numbers of smallholders to participate more in the food value chains according to a report from the World Bank.

Iowa State University Animal Industry Report 2013
A compilation of the reports from the Department of Animal Science at Iowa State University published in its 2013 'Animal Industry Report'.

Australian Dairy Farming Overview- 2012:Dairy Manufacturing and Markets
In the absence of production growth, profitability and efficiency have been the message of large dairy processors who have invested in greater storage, said Dairy Australia in a synoptic analysis of the industry in 2012.

Company News

Market Reports

USDA Cattle on Feed - 29 January 2013
Dairy Australia - Market News - 25 January 2013
Irish CSO Reports - Milk Statistics December 2012
USDA National Dairy Products Sales Report - 31 January 2013
UK Milk Prices and Composition of Milk – December 2012

Global Dairy Industry News


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Irrigation and Storage Funding Announced
Dairy Leads December Quarter Exports Fall


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EU and Brazil Sign Animal Welfare Agreement
Arla to Invest in 2013
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Feed Survey: Global Production 959 Million Tons
FAO Announce Dairy Integration Success
Cattle Emissions Pointed to Youngstock


Chinese Agro-product Promotion Opens in Berlin
Beijing Cracks Down on Food Supply for Upcoming Festival


Next Member State Will Make Small Contribution to EU


Japan Agrees to Further Open Market to US Beef

   European Union

Brussels Common Policy Reforms Met With Satisfaction
Can EU Afford CAP Reforms?
Welfare and Market Worries Stem from Latest CAP Proposals
Commission Presents Positive Market for Next Decade


State and Regional Ministers Ratify 400 million peso TB Plan


Governments Invest $3.4 Million Into Livestock Research
Nut and Dairy Go Undeclared on Labelling


Fencing Help for Bushfire Victims
MLA: Flooding Impacts Markets

   United Kingdom

Breeding Indexes Not Appropriate for All Farm Needs
NFU: Industry Must Unite to Protect Agricultural Land from Flooding
AHVLA Issues Further Warning Over Flukes
Take Care When Dealing with Compaction This Spring
Anger Over TB Vaccination Costs
Farm Income Figures Highlight Economic Role of CAP, says NFU
Farmers Could be Feeding Excessive Minerals

   United States

Feed Costs, Weather Will Drive Dairy Profits in 2013, Says MU Economist
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Forage Specialist Offers Methods of Coping with Drought
Update on Corn Consumption
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IPPE - What is Risk from Multi-Drug Resistant Antibiotics?
Allendale Inc. Releases Cattle Report Estimates
Weekly Roberts Market Report


OIE: Brucellosis Outbreak in Belgium


Widespread Schmallenberg Outbreak Notified


Import Rise of 500 Per Cent Prompts Tariff Hike


Researcher Striving to Offer Hassle Free Supplementary Feed


Argentina Increases Import Tariff Rates on 100 products


Industry Reviews Sector Progression


Foot and Mouth Disease Vaccination Alert


Raw Milk and Cream Push to Help Health


Ag Minister Welcomes Re-Opening of Live Export Trade


Robots Cause Milk Yield Fall
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Animal Health Authority Receives TB and Brucellosis Guidance


The Drost Project - A Visual Guide to Porcine, Pig Reproduction.
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