Weekly US Cattle Outlook - Fed Cattle Prices Fall
US - Weekly Cattle Outlook, 10th October 2008 - Weekly review of the US cattle industry, written by Glenn Grimes and Ron Plain.Ron Plain
A significant part of the weakening is due to a weak domestic consumer demand, which was down five percent for January-August from a year earlier.
The male-female slaughter ratio for August was at 1:11 was substantially below a year earlier 1:22 and the 10 year average of 1:18. The smaller ratio indicates a larger share of the slaughter ratio is female, another indication that producers are reducing the size of the breeding herd. Remember the beef cow breeding herd was down a little on both January 1 and July 1 of this year compared to a year earlier.
The corn price in the futures market this week at $4.00 plus some change was down close to 50 percent from the high in June. These lower prices need to be looked at closely as a buying opportunity for cattle feeders.
Feeder cattle and calves took a hard hit this week at Oklahoma City with prices down $5-$10 per cwt from a week earlier.
The price range by weight groups for medium and large frame No. 1 steers at Oklahoma City this week were: 400-500 pounds $107.50-119.50 per cwt, 500-600 pounds $103-113 per cwt, 600-700- pound calves $85-94.25 per cwt, 600-700 pound yearlings $96.50-102.25 per cwt, 700-800 pounds $95.50-99.50 per cwt and 800-900 pounds $93-96 per cwt.
Wholesale beef cutout prices took a roller coaster ride this week with a $4 per cwt increase in Choice beef on Monday, then over a $6 decline on Wednesday. On Friday morning, Choice beef at $149.86 per cwt was down $2.83 per cwt for the week. Select beef at $143.64 per cwt was down $3.31 per cwt from seven days earlier.
Some of this uncertainty in the financial markets carried over into the cattle market this week with the weighted average price the five-market at $91.50 per cwt down $4.50 per cwt from Thursday last week. The weighted average negotiated carcass price for the five-market area through Thursday at $140.85 down $7.15 per cwt from seven days earlier.
Slaughter this week under Federal Inspection was estimated at 650 thousand head, up 1.7 percent from a year earlier.
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