LMC: Food Price Decreasing as Costs Rise
UK - The latest Food and Agriculture Organisation (FAO) Food Price Index has just been published and indicates that in 2012 to date food prices have been an average of eight per cent cheaper than the same ten month period in 2011.The FAO price index for meat for the
month of October 2012 has remained
the same as September 2012 at 174
points and is down slightly from the
176 points recorded in October 2011.
At a producer level this means that on
a global basis the average retail price
of meat products has not changed
over the course of the year while the
cost of the cereals utilised in meat production have markedly increased.
The FAO cereal price index in October
2012 was 259 points, a decrease of 4
points on the previous month but 18
index points higher than the figure in
October 2011. This represents an
increase in cereal costs by twelve per
cent over the course of the year.
Classification Analysis
A
N analysis of the prime cattle
classification statistics for price
reported cattle for the six
month period May-October 2012
have identified some interesting
trends when compared to the same
period in 2011. It should be noted
that the proportion of steers, heifers
and young bulls in the prime kill was
unchanged between the two periods.
The average carcase weight for
suckler origin prime cattle for the
period May-October 2012, was
355.7kg. This is 7.2kg heavier than
the 348.5kg average carcase weight
during the same period in 2011.
However if we were to look only at the
five major continental beef breeds
(Limousin, Charolais, Simmental,
Blonde d'Aquitaine and Belgian
Blue), which account for 75 per cent
of all beef sired calf registrations,
then the difference in carcase
weights of suckler sourced prime
cattle between the two periods is
8.2kg with an average carcase
weight in the 2012 period of
363.6kg.
Alongside this increase in the
carcase weights of prime cattle
sourced from the suckler herd there
has been a general upward
movement in carcase grades as
indicated in Figure 2. Table 1
outlines the proportion of prime
cattle produced from the suckler
herd that fall within each base grade
during the period May-October 2012
compared to the same period in
2011.
The general improvement in the grades of cattle produced from
the suckler herd has led to a decline
in the proportion of R grading
animals between the two periods
while the proportion of U grading
animals has increased.
The
proportion of these prime cattle
achieving a U grade has increased
from 21.5 per cent in May-October
2011 to 25.0 per cent in the same
period in 2012.
Meanwhile the
proportion of R grading cattle has
declined slightly from 54.5 per cent
in May-October 2011 to 51.9 per
cent in May-October 2012. This is
most likely a consequence of prime
cattle being pushed into heavier
weights and thus helping to move
them up a grading sub class i.e. from
an R+ to a U-.
Weekly Beef Markets
Dead Weight Cattle Trade
Base quotes from the plants this week for U-3 grade prime cattle
have increased to 320-324p/kg with the plants reporting a
tightening in the supply of prime cattle.
The weekly prime cattle
kill has been gradually reducing since early October and last week
totalled 6,559 head. Meanwhile the cow kill has remained strong with
2,783 head slaughtered last week and the plants reporting plenty of
availability. The quotes for first quality cows range from 260-275p/kg.
Imports of prime cattle from ROI for direct slaughter have remained
strong with 915 prime cattle imported last week, accounting for
fourteen per cent of the total prime kill.
Exports to GB
Meanwhile exports to GB for
direct slaughter have remained similar to the previous week with 315
cattle being exported. The average steer price in NI last week increased
by 4.2 p/kg to 316.2p/kg while the heifer price increased by 2.7p/kg
to 318.0p/kg.
These prices are similar to the same week last year when
average steer and heifer prices were 316.9p/kg and 317.8p/kg
respectively. Young bull prices in NI last week increased by 5.4p/kg to
308.9p/kg. This is 2p/kg higher than the 306.9p/kg paid the same
week last year.
Scotland
In Scotland last week average steer prices were similar to the previous week at 361.5p/kg while heifer prices increased by 1p/kg to 358.7p/kg. An improvement in price for the largest majority of reported grades in the other UK regions has resulted in stronger increases in average prices being observed with steer and heifer prices up in the range of 2-6p/kg. The differential in the R3 steer price between NI and the GB average last week was 29.2p/kg. This ranged from 20.6p/kg in Southern England and generally increases as you move north to 34.1p/kg in Scotland.
Republic Of Ireland
In ROI last week the prices paid generally increased in euro terms with R3 steers and heifers up 3.4c/kg and 4.9c/kg respectively. However a slight weakening in the euro against sterling meant prices were relatively unchanged in sterling terms. The differential between NI and ROI for R3 steers last week was 28.3p/kg while the differential for R3 grading heifers was 16.1p/kg.
Finished Marts
Finished first quality steers sold to an average of 195p/kg this week with second quality finished steers selling to an average of 176p/kg. This was a similar trade to last week. Good quality finished heifers sold to an average of 205p/kg compared to 187p/kg last week with plainer finished heifers selling to 178p/kg (+8p/kg).
Beef cows sold to an average of 163p/kg for first quality lots and 133 for less well fleshed cows. The trade for dairy type cows was fairly similar to the previous week, selling in the range of 90-135p/kg. The trade for store bullocks up to 400kg was similar to last week with good quality animals selling to an average of 194p/kg with second quality animals selling to 168p/kg. The trade for first quality store heifers was similar to last week with average prices for second quality animals showing increases in the region of 5-8p/kg.
TheCattleSite News Desk